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Cedric Vanhaver's technology news, cleantech and greentech blog

 
Cedric writes about new technology, gadgets, web applications, the Internet and green/cleantech.

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Cedric writes about new technology, gadgets, web applications and the Internet. He is particularly interested in Web 2.0 applications and social networking tools that connect people on the web. Cedric also writes about trends in clean tech, green tech and alternative energy. Cedric recently moved from the San Francisco Bay Area to Hong Kong and tends to connect China and Asia to popular U.S. topics and products.

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Predicting the economic meltdown

A widely-viewed YouTube of Peter Schiff, the president of brokerage firm Euro Pacific Capital, has been making noise this week. Schiff had been predicting the real estate meltdown and credit crunch in the U.S. since 2006, long before anyone else understood the problems that were threatening the U.S. economy.

Schiff was finally vindicated when a YouTube of his multiple TV appearance on CNBC, Fox News, Bloomberg TV and other major U.S. networks, started gaining in popularity this week. In it, Schiff is seen debating with so-called experts, including Arthur Laffer of Laffer Investments, who were bullish on the stock market and the economy.

Trouble is, these "experts" didn't have the understanding of economics that Schiff has. The bearish Schiff was right on most of his predictions, including the housing meltdown, the liquidity problem and the recession (which he said would actually be a depression). And he had the guts to go on national TV to debate with arrogant analysts who belittlingly dismissed his arguments without even trying to understand what he was explaining.

So, what is Schiff predicting will happen next? He sees Asia as the next place for growth and says the Asian market will experience a tremendous boom. While this shouldn't come as a shocker, his reasons may surprise some. Schiff says that Asia's strong manufacturing sector and its ability to produce goods is its major strength. Schiff also sees the U.S. dollar, which has been gaining against 15 major currencies in the last few months, become weaker again and "fall like a stone." The Chinese Yuan is the only currency that has been gaining against the dollar as of late.

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Published 29 November 2008 18:54 by Cedric Vanhaver

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About Cedric Vanhaver

In Honk Kong since 2008 after living and working in the U.S. for more than 10 years, Cedric takes an Asian perspective on U.S. companies, trends and products. Before joining Hill & Knowlton, Cedric worked in marcom for major U.S. agencies, including Porter Novelli and GlobalFluency. His client experience includes HP, Nokia, McAfee, Alibaba and Deloitte.